Chaos theory and covid 19
As the weeks and months go by the entire planet is in a quandary of unimaginable depth...Predicting the direction of an epidemic is a major challenge. Likewise, predicting the course of an epidedemicc from an emerging virus is more so. It doesn't help that our emotions get in the way hoping still for a workable solution that flies in the face of recurrent data.
As this phenomenon of 2020 continues, it is being attacked with countless approaches to gain an understanding. From this determination will hopefully come a method of effective containment or control.
Some approaches have involved testing and finding or simulating laboratory conditions. Others have made comparisons of similar outbreaks. From these findings treatments of record are derived to hopefully find effective treatments to match for a cure.
A very important aspect involves finding an effevtive mode.This epidemic has its roots in the history of the Severe Aspirational Respitory System disease(SARS already well-known for avian flu and other similar characteristics in China. Other countries such as Japan, South Korea, Vietnam and of course China have been thoroughly researched.
It is hoped from this research that effective models can be built to test and lay out an effective cure. This will drive much of the action for the foreseeable future.
the validity of most predictive models relies on numerous parameters, involving biological and social characteristics often unknown or highly uncertain. Data of the COVID-19 epidemics in China, Japan, South Korea and Italy were used to build up deterministic models without strong hypothesis. These models were then applied to other countries to identify the closest scenarios in order to foresee their coming behavior. The results consistently display a pattern such as the hollowing of similar recurrent outbreaks. The succeeding image show an insect like symmetry in observed results.
An important part of Chaos Theory is called the Butterfly effect. Data often shows a twin pattern in it'displayed results Each day I pray for the brave researcheers work to eradicate this monstrous plague. Let us all send out our hopes and prayers about this event of our lifetime!