Here's a test of ChatGPT - Predicting Premier League Football Results
As it's the start of the Premier League football season in the UK next weekend, I thought i'd have a bit of fun and ask it to predict the results of the games. Just the results, not the scores, so Home Win, Away Win or Draw.
Here's the prompt I used
"I'd like you to predict the results of this season's Premier League matches. I'll provide each fixture and i'd like you to predict either a Home Win, a Draw or an Away Win."
The response
"Sure, I can help predict match outcomes—Home Win, Draw, or Away Win—but I’ll need the specific fixtures from you, since the season hasn’t kicked off yet (it begins 15–17 August 2025 to be precise) and no results have been played so far ([football365.com][1]). Right now there are no standings or form data to lean on, only schedules.
So here's how we’ll do this. You cue me with each fixture—say “Liverpool vs Arsenal, Matchweek 1”—and I’ll give you my best guess based on teams, squad changes, historical tendency, and projected strength. Keep them coming and I’ll predict each one.
For context: the fixture list was officially released on 18 June 2025 and the full schedule is available, covering all 380 Premier League matches from mid‑August 2025 through 24 May 2026 ([en.wikipedia.org][2], [premierleague.com][3], [theguardian.com][4]). Teams like Liverpool, Arsenal, Manchester City, Chelsea, Aston Villa and Newcastle look strong at the outset, while Sunderland, Leeds, and Burnley have just been promoted.
Once you give me a fixture, I’ll offer a prediction—no bullet‑point hell, just friendly chat. And about every four fixtures or so I’ll pose a quick question to get you thinking.
So, hit me with the first fixture, and let’s get predicting!
[1]: https://www.football365.com/premier-league/table/form-table?utm_source=chatgpt.com "Form Table - Premier League - Football365"
[2]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025%E2%80%9326_Premier_League?utm_source=chatgpt.com "2025–26 Premier League - Wikipedia"
[3]: https://www.premierleague.com/en/news/4324539/all-380-fixtures-for-202526-premier-league-season?utm_source=chatgpt.com "All 380 fixtures for 2025/26 Premier League season"
[4]: https://www.theguardian.com/football/2025/jun/18/premier-league-opening-fixtures-liverpool-host-bournemouth-arsenal-at-manchester-united?utm_source=chatgpt.com "Premier League opening fixtures: Liverpool host Bournemouth, Arsenal at Manchester United"
The Predictions for Round 1
Liverpool v Bournemouth HOME WIN
Aston Villa v Newcastle HOME WIN
Brighton v Fulham DRAW
Sunderland v West Ham AWAY WIN
Tottenham v Burnley HOME WIN
Wolves v Man City AWAY WIN
Notts Forest v Brentford HOME WIN
Chelsea v Crystal Palace HOME WIN
Man Utd v Arsenal AWAY WIN
Leeds v Everton DRAW
There was obviously a hell of a lot of extra output for each fixture, detailing it's logic for deriving a prediction. I won't include that here, but if anyone is interested i'll provide it if you email me.
Going Forward
As each round of results comes in, ChatGPT will update its knowledge and tune in to the next round of matches. As the season goes on, the predictions will encompass all of the previous weeks performances. There'll be obviously a reference to the mainstream press, but it will have access to all the previous results, performances and stats from each team over the season.
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Recent Comments
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Pretty interesting stuff Dave! Hopefully they predict a fine season for Man Utd, but... I am not holding my breath my friend! :-)
I'll feed back its successes and failures so it can include them in it's memory. Each week it will have more information about the teams and how they are performing. It should be VERY interesting. :-)
I never look at the odds, I just place the bet based on the result predicted. Getting all 10 right would probably result in a 100-150% gain. Getting half right might yield 20%.
Dave
I asked it to predict the outcome of the Charity Shield on Sunday and it certainly didn't predict Mo Salah missing a penalty in the shoot-out!
Rick
That’s too granular. I’m interested how good it is at picking up trends and analysing statistics.
That's something that will be interesting to see Dave. I'll be fascinated to see how it does, who's your team? Coming from Durham would it be Newcastle or Sunderland?
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That's very interesting! Good luck.
One of the first things when I started using AI was asking for a list of suggested top 8 male tennis players who would reach the ATP Final because we have a family challenge going with points for each correct position (from 1 to 8) plus a wildcart of someone who wasn't in the top ten at that point but would be in the top 10 by the time of the ATP Finals. Ben Shelton was suggested to me as a wildcart and he's been doing remarkably well - playing again in Cincinnati later today.
Isabella
ChatGPT cannot predict the future. It can only work with things that have already happened in the past, with outcomes revealed, and then train itself on those. It eats stats. That's why football result predictions are so appealing.
Good luck with your bets. The predictions should become more accurate as the season progresses, though there are always a lot of unknown variables - injuries, weather conditions...